SA Agri Futures: The Bigger Picture – 26 June 2024
A short note highlighting the longer-term outlook of the SA- Agri market from a technical perspective.
Remarks:
The goal is to highlight trending possibilities over the medium to long term.
Whilst most of these markets are currently consolidating, it is crucial to monitor for any low- risk opportunities that might represent themselves.
Red Line: “Roadmap” – A visual representation of proba-ble future price action. A perforated red line suggest various proba-ble outcomes with the perforated line being
Blue Line: Trend Lines that constitute important sup-port / resistance or break levels
TA – Target area
MA – Moving average
R – Resistance
RA – Resistance area
MR – Minor Resistance
MS – Minor Support
MTR – Medium Term Resistance
MTS – Medium Term Support
SA – Support Area
S – Support
T – Target
* or ** – Significance of level
The intention of this analysis is to give the reader a visual picture of the most probable price path that could develop over time. This is enhanced by adding crucial levels where the proposed view becomes dubious and needs to be re-assessed (or confirmed). The benefit of this approach is that of an easy to understand and almost instantaneous grasp of the analysts view. This kind of analysis is not intended to be exact in predicting levels, and especially timing of moves, but to give a more general probability view that is easily understandable and unambiguous. The proposed “roadmap” gets adjusted over time as new price information becomes available. All technical views have re-assessment or negation levels where the proposed preference is no longer valid or needs to be re-assessed.