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Cryptocurrencies- The Bigger Picture – 28 Oct 2024

Bitcoin and Ethereum’s technical pictures continue to diverge.

While BTC is consolidating as part of a cyclical bull trend, the long-term outlook for ETH remains more muted with volatile moves within a wide triangular trading range.

The main goal of long-term analysis is to portray possible large trends as the primary driver of returns and profits.

It is not a trading or timing input but can be used confirm the medium- and shorter-term views.

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US Dollar Weekly Report – 22 Oct 2024

While the longer- term bearish outlook on the US currency remains valid, medium- and short-term outcomes were adjusted since last week’s report.

The alternative outcome of consolidating market action was validated by extended short term appreciation beyond pivotal levels.

Further medium - term range trading has postponed the still relevant and eventual bear trend to new lows.

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Cryptocurrency Weekly Report – 21 Oct 2024

The medium-term bullish outlook on Bitcoin could be materializing as the market breaks above initial key resistance.

Interim overbought conditions are likely to result in a corrective phase, but this would remain part of the larger bullish bias, if pivotal support holds.

The expected bull trend should complete the cyclical upside that started at circa $ 16 000.

Ethereum remains less certain. The general view of a medium-term bottom, however, seems to be materializing.

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Rand Weekly Report – 21 Oct 2024

The USD/ZAR medium- and short- term expectations remain in line with recent market moves.

We expect volatile range trading within medium term parameters for the rest of the year.

The occurrence of a rare running correction with extended bullish consequences remains possible,

but is not the preferred outcome. We will keep a close watch as price action develops and clarifies the situation over time.

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