Weekly Rand Report – 04 Nov 2024
Please find attached the weekly USD/ZAR report.
US Dollar: The Bigger Picture – 30 Oct 2024
Our longer- term bearish stance on the Greenback remains valid and is ongoing.
Recent gains have, however indicated that the 18-month-old consolidation phase remains in force, effectively postponing the larger bearish potential.
The long-term monthly analysis confirms the respective weekly views.
The US presidential election and upcoming FOMC meeting could result in volatility, but this report does not take any fundamental drivers in consideration as a purely technical outlook.
Users can overlay and include their own perceptions and analyses.
Cryptocurrencies- The Bigger Picture – 28 Oct 2024
Bitcoin and Ethereum’s technical pictures continue to diverge.
While BTC is consolidating as part of a cyclical bull trend, the long-term outlook for ETH remains more muted with volatile moves within a wide triangular trading range.
The main goal of long-term analysis is to portray possible large trends as the primary driver of returns and profits.
It is not a trading or timing input but can be used confirm the medium- and shorter-term views.
Rand Monthly Report – 28 Oct 2024
Please find attached the month-end Rand report where we examine the local currency against the major global counterparts.
US Dollar Weekly Report – 22 Oct 2024
While the longer- term bearish outlook on the US currency remains valid, medium- and short-term outcomes were adjusted since last week’s report.
The alternative outcome of consolidating market action was validated by extended short term appreciation beyond pivotal levels.
Further medium - term range trading has postponed the still relevant and eventual bear trend to new lows.
Cryptocurrency Weekly Report – 21 Oct 2024
The medium-term bullish outlook on Bitcoin could be materializing as the market breaks above initial key resistance.
Interim overbought conditions are likely to result in a corrective phase, but this would remain part of the larger bullish bias, if pivotal support holds.
The expected bull trend should complete the cyclical upside that started at circa $ 16 000.
Ethereum remains less certain. The general view of a medium-term bottom, however, seems to be materializing.
Rand Weekly Report – 21 Oct 2024
The USD/ZAR medium- and short- term expectations remain in line with recent market moves.
We expect volatile range trading within medium term parameters for the rest of the year.
The occurrence of a rare running correction with extended bullish consequences remains possible,
but is not the preferred outcome. We will keep a close watch as price action develops and clarifies the situation over time.
US Dollar Report – 16 Oct 2024
The US Dollar Report for the 16th of October 2024.
Cryptocurrencies Weekly – 14 Oct 2024
The medium-term bullish outlook on Bitcoin should be close to materializing as the recent consolidation phase nears completion.
The expected bull trend should complete the cyclical upside that started at circa $ 16 000.
This view is despite our well documented fundamental scepticism.
Ethereum remains somewhat of an enigma. It does seem, however that the market is constructing a medium-term bottom
that could result in a meaningful bull phase/relief rally.