South African Markets

JSE TOP 40 Index Note – 26 Nov 2024

Medium- and short-term price action point to messy range trading into the end of the year.

The Expected bull trend to new highs might then only materialize in 2025.

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Rand Weekly Report – 25 Nov 2025

Note : As per usual this week will be the final reporting schedule for 2024.

While the recent bullish view and important target levels are retained,

Non classical short term market action and subdivisions in the move from 17.29 to current levels continues.

The preferred and illustrated interim outcome is therefore subject to a measure of short-term uncertainty.

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JSE TOP 40 report – 20 Nov 2024

Please find attached the JSE TOP 40 index update

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Rand Weekly Report – 18 Nov 2024

The expected bull trend could be maturing as it approaches important target areas.

While the recent bullish view and important target levels are retained, limited subdivisions in the move from 17.29 to current levels creates a measure of short-term uncertainty.

We will update the interim outlook as more price evidence avails itself.

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JSE TOP 40 Note – 12 Nov 2024

Please find attached the weekly JSE TOPI Index update.

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Rand Weekly Report – 11 Nov 2024

Event risk has added a fair amount of volatility, but without a meaningful change in the prevailing view.

The interim Report of a possible down break through important support levels were put on hold after a sharp bullish reversal off the important support/ break levels.

Whereto from here: While volatility decreases certainty and creates doubt, it seems that the long held technical outcome remains preferred.

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Rand Update – 07 Nov 2024

Please find the generally requested medium term update on the USD/ZAR pair.

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JSE TOP 40 Index Note – 04 Nov 2024

The expected and current market consolidation seems to be forming a bullish continuation pattern.

This phase is most probably building a base for further gains, as part of the larger bull trend.

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Weekly Rand Report – 04 Nov 2024

Please find attached the weekly USD/ZAR report.

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JSE TOP 40 Index: The Bigger Picture – 29 Oct 2024

Please find attached the monthly, long term JSE TOP 40 index update.

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Rand Weekly Report – 21 Oct 2024

The USD/ZAR medium- and short- term expectations remain in line with recent market moves.

We expect volatile range trading within medium term parameters for the rest of the year.

The occurrence of a rare running correction with extended bullish consequences remains possible,

but is not the preferred outcome. We will keep a close watch as price action develops and clarifies the situation over time.

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Rand Weekly Report – 14 Oct 2024

Medium term moves have remained within long term consolidation parameters and have also consistently exhibited corrective traits.

This suggests that while the USD/ZAR pair should remain within stated parameters.

Volatility and ad hoc moves is likely to continue for the rest of 2024.

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JSE TOP 40 Index Weekly Note – 07 Oct 2024

The maturing bull trend could have moderate further shorter -term upside potential.

Despite the short-term bullish bias, it is increasingly difficult to see a medium- term extended bullish scenario from current market levels.

Recent formations and price action suggest volatile and overlapping moves over the foreseeable future.

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JSE TOP 40 Index- The long term Outlook – 01 Oct 2024

A fair amount of detail outlining the general bull trend as an upward sloping wedge increases the risk of being wrong.

Recent medium term price action unfortunately points to this alternative as the preferred outcome.

It is not in line with the prevailing sentiment and our personal fundamental stance.

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JSE TOP 40 Index Update – 25 Sep 2024

The recent gains have been everything but a classic trending bull market.

Overlapping and volatile gains can be defined by a price channel.

Whilst this type of price action is common in corrections and consolidations, it is quite rare during general upside and making new highs.

The most plausible alternative/explanation for his is that a large and long term upward sloping wedge is forming.

The illustrated scenarios are self- explanatory.

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USD/ZAR Report – 23 Sep 2024

The market is currently testing our long held bearish target levels. A bottom has, however not been formed or confirmed yet.

In this report we discuss feasible short term alternative outcomes that could materialize,

given current extended market conditions, importance of cluster support, as well as the prevailing bullish sentiment and conviction.

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