Please find attached the monthly JSE technical analysis on the Benchmark Top 40 Index.
Views are retained.
Please find attached the monthly JSE technical analysis on the Benchmark Top 40 Index.
Views are retained.
Please find attached the Bigger picture outlook on the benchmark JSE Top 40 index.
To search for high probability medium term trade and investment opportunities by capitalizing on definitive trends.
Medium- and short-term price action point to messy range trading into the end of the year.
The Expected bull trend to new highs might then only materialize in 2025.
Please find attached the JSE TOP 40 index update
Please find attached the weekly JSE TOPI Index update.
The expected and current market consolidation seems to be forming a bullish continuation pattern.
This phase is most probably building a base for further gains, as part of the larger bull trend.
Please find attached the monthly, long term JSE TOP 40 index update.
The JSE TOPI Index update.
An overlapping longer term bull phase suggests ongoing volatile moves with an upside bias over time.
The medium term view of moderate further gains remains valid.
The maturing bull trend could have moderate further shorter -term upside potential.
Despite the short-term bullish bias, it is increasingly difficult to see a medium- term extended bullish scenario from current market levels.
Recent formations and price action suggest volatile and overlapping moves over the foreseeable future.
A fair amount of detail outlining the general bull trend as an upward sloping wedge increases the risk of being wrong.
Recent medium term price action unfortunately points to this alternative as the preferred outcome.
It is not in line with the prevailing sentiment and our personal fundamental stance.
The recent gains have been everything but a classic trending bull market.
Overlapping and volatile gains can be defined by a price channel.
Whilst this type of price action is common in corrections and consolidations, it is quite rare during general upside and making new highs.
The most plausible alternative/explanation for his is that a large and long term upward sloping wedge is forming.
The illustrated scenarios are self- explanatory.
Global equity rhetoric and sentiment has recently become quite positive , due to several fundamental factors.
The technical scenario is in line with any immediate bullish bias, but the longer-term outlook remains more circumspect and even negative.
Our mandate is to give an objective technical perspective on analysed markets, independent of any other forecasting techniques.
Re- assessment and negation levels fortunately qualify the technical view and is, as always, important.
The medium-term bearish outcome defies belief but is unfortunately the best objective technical outcome.
The bear trend is currently still unconfirmed and as such just a good idea, until pivotal support has been broken.
Pivotal and negation levels remain important for successful navigation of the market.