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JSE TOP 40 Note – 09 Sep 2024

The medium-term bearish outcome defies belief but is unfortunately the best objective technical outcome.

The bear trend is currently still unconfirmed and as such just a good idea, until pivotal support has been broken.

Pivotal and negation levels remain important for successful navigation of the market.

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USD/ZAR Weekly – 09 Sep 2024

The expected consolidation phase in the USD/ZAR pair is open to some interpretation.

While the shorter- term outcome is similar in nature between the two feasible alternatives, the long- term consequences and trend implications are different.

As always, developing price action will give us early insight into outcome probabilities.

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JSE Top 40 Weekly Note – 04 Sep 2024

The weekly JSE Top 40 Index update.

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US Dollar- The Bigger Picture – 03 Sep 2024

The US Dollar monthly report.

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Cryptocurrencies Monthly Report – 02 Sep 2024

The long term monthly report on BTC and ETH.

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Rand vs the Major currencies – 02 Sept 2024

The monthly technical analysis update on the Rand against USD, GBP and Euro.

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Monthly Copper Report – August 2024

The periodic Copper technical analysis update.

Disclaimer: This is a purely technical view and no fundamentals have been harmed in the process.

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JSE Top 40 note – 28 Aug 2024

While our medium-term bullish stance for 2024 has materialized, the recent break of previous tops suggests the possibility of extended gains beyond the long-held target levels.

Unfortunately, the break has come under overbought and diverging market conditions. The bullish advance over the past year has also been more corrective than trending.

The formation/ trend is therefore quite difficult to pinpoint with conviction.

There is a lot that we are uncertain about, so let us try and simplify it to what we do know:

Price action is the primary indicator. As long as we remain above the crucial pivot support the bias should remain bullish.
A price break below this same level would, however, be quite bearish and volatile.

“ The trend is your friend- except in the end when it bends”

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US Dollar Report – 27 Aug 2024

The short- term update has been changed from the US Index to the EUR/USD pair.

EUR/USD is the preferred global trading currency and requests for short term analysis is therefore well founded

The US Dollar has broken out of a medium-term range with an increasing likelihood of more trending price action going forward.

Current weakening of the US Currency has a direct impact on global currencies, as well as related financial markets

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Weekly Cryptocurrency report – 26 Aug 2024

If our medium-term view of continued volatile range trading is correct, then the next few months can be difficult for both bulls and bears. Target and pivotal levels are crucial in a market where sentiment extremes might just be a contrarian indicator for the time being.

A break of the consolidation parameters is required to activate a large trend.

It is a painful truth that the longer-term technical stance remains quite bullish on the eventual completion of the current consolidation.

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Rand Weekly Report – 18 Nov 2024

The expected bull trend could be maturing as it approaches important target areas.

While the recent bullish view and important target levels are retained, limited subdivisions in the move from 17.29 to current levels creates a measure of short-term uncertainty.

We will update the interim outlook as more price evidence avails itself.

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US Dollar Weekly Report – 12 Nov 2024

US Dollar strength has exceeded our expectations and necessitated some adjustments to the medium- term outlook.

It seems that recent fundamental events have had a marked influence on the value of the Greenback.

Market behaviour and trends do not always abide by our expectations and analyses.

Besides being a lesson in humility, it also emphasizes the importance of pivotal technical levels as a disciplined investment approach.

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Gold Monthly Technical Preview – 19 Aug 2024

The long- term bull trend remains intact but showing signs of maturing.

In this report we speculate on the medium-term possible development of a trend ending formation, with consequent corrective price action.

This technical pattern is currently the preferred stance, but still requires near term price action to develop within defined parameters, as final confirmation.

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Cryptocurrencies Weekly Report – 19 Aug 2024

The market is currently undergoing a correction phase which is expected to lead to a bullish reversal.

The bullish trend is anticipated to reach T1/T2 levels.

The current price action is part of a larger corrective pattern, but there's room for other formations to occur.

The K** level is crucial for the overall market outlook.

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Rand Weekly Report – 19 Aug 2024

A well established, medium- term positive technical outlook on the Rand is now also becoming commonplace in the fundamental narrative. This could lead to further expected Rand appreciation.

As prevailing trend matures, we need to remain circumspect.

It is in a rattlesnakes’ nature to strike when least expected.

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Cryptocurrencies Weekly Report – 13 Aug 2024

Volatility within a wide range looks set to continue.

These are normally hazardous trading conditions.

Static fundamental views will get you into trouble when markets fluctuate violently.

The best alternative of a bad bunch would be to let price action guide and pivotal levels keep you out of big trouble .

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JSE TOP 40 Note – 12 August 2024

The weekly JSE Top 40 index update.

The medium- term view of a bearish corrective phase is confirmed by volatile and overlapping price action.

Longer term investors should remain calm with a definite re- emergence of the cyclical bull trend outcome on the other side of this volatile mess.

Traders and speculators can capitalize on the interim expected trends that should occur.

The important activation and negation market levels are even more crucial in volatile corrections, as highlighted in the report.

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