Open

Rand Weekly Report – 11 Nov 2024

Event risk has added a fair amount of volatility, but without a meaningful change in the prevailing view.

The interim Report of a possible down break through important support levels were put on hold after a sharp bullish reversal off the important support/ break levels.

Whereto from here: While volatility decreases certainty and creates doubt, it seems that the long held technical outcome remains preferred.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Rand Update – 07 Nov 2024

Please find the generally requested medium term update on the USD/ZAR pair.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Cryptocurrencies Weekly Report – 05 Nov 2024

The expected bull trend on Bitcoin is materializing after a meaningful break out of the consolidation parameters.

Ethereum’s technical outlook remains elusive with a variety of potential medium-term possibilities. We retain the preferred view of base building for an eventual meaningful bull trend.

It seems like the market has decided on its choice for the preferred cryptocurrency, whether we agree with it, or not.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

US Dollar Weekly Report – 05 Nov 2024

The longer- term bearish outlook on the US currency remains valid.

Further medium – term range trading is preceding the eventual bear trend.

We “ await” US presidential election and then “await” the FOMC meeting.

Then we will “digest” the results before “awaiting” the next important economic figures….

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

JSE TOP 40 Index Note – 04 Nov 2024

The expected and current market consolidation seems to be forming a bullish continuation pattern.

This phase is most probably building a base for further gains, as part of the larger bull trend.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Weekly Rand Report – 04 Nov 2024

Please find attached the weekly USD/ZAR report.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Brent: The bigger Picture – 31 Oct 2024

Please find attached the preferred medium and long term outlook on Brent.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

US Dollar: The Bigger Picture – 30 Oct 2024

Our longer- term bearish stance on the Greenback remains valid and is ongoing.

Recent gains have, however indicated that the 18-month-old consolidation phase remains in force, effectively postponing the larger bearish potential.

The long-term monthly analysis confirms the respective weekly views.

The US presidential election and upcoming FOMC meeting could result in volatility, but this report does not take any fundamental drivers in consideration as a purely technical outlook.

Users can overlay and include their own perceptions and analyses.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

JSE TOP 40 Index: The Bigger Picture – 29 Oct 2024

Please find attached the monthly, long term JSE TOP 40 index update.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Cryptocurrencies- The Bigger Picture – 28 Oct 2024

Bitcoin and Ethereum’s technical pictures continue to diverge.

While BTC is consolidating as part of a cyclical bull trend, the long-term outlook for ETH remains more muted with volatile moves within a wide triangular trading range.

The main goal of long-term analysis is to portray possible large trends as the primary driver of returns and profits.

It is not a trading or timing input but can be used confirm the medium- and shorter-term views.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

US Dollar: The Bigger Picture – 30 Oct 2024

Our longer- term bearish stance on the Greenback remains valid and is ongoing.

Recent gains have, however indicated that the 18-month-old consolidation phase remains in force, effectively postponing the larger bearish potential.

The long-term monthly analysis confirms the respective weekly views.

The US presidential election and upcoming FOMC meeting could result in volatility, but this report does not take any fundamental drivers in consideration as a purely technical outlook.

Users can overlay and include their own perceptions and analyses.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Cryptocurrencies- The Bigger Picture – 28 Oct 2024

Bitcoin and Ethereum’s technical pictures continue to diverge.

While BTC is consolidating as part of a cyclical bull trend, the long-term outlook for ETH remains more muted with volatile moves within a wide triangular trading range.

The main goal of long-term analysis is to portray possible large trends as the primary driver of returns and profits.

It is not a trading or timing input but can be used confirm the medium- and shorter-term views.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

US Dollar Weekly Report – 22 Oct 2024

While the longer- term bearish outlook on the US currency remains valid, medium- and short-term outcomes were adjusted since last week’s report.

The alternative outcome of consolidating market action was validated by extended short term appreciation beyond pivotal levels.

Further medium - term range trading has postponed the still relevant and eventual bear trend to new lows.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Cryptocurrency Weekly Report – 21 Oct 2024

The medium-term bullish outlook on Bitcoin could be materializing as the market breaks above initial key resistance.

Interim overbought conditions are likely to result in a corrective phase, but this would remain part of the larger bullish bias, if pivotal support holds.

The expected bull trend should complete the cyclical upside that started at circa $ 16 000.

Ethereum remains less certain. The general view of a medium-term bottom, however, seems to be materializing.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Rand Weekly Report – 21 Oct 2024

The USD/ZAR medium- and short- term expectations remain in line with recent market moves.

We expect volatile range trading within medium term parameters for the rest of the year.

The occurrence of a rare running correction with extended bullish consequences remains possible,

but is not the preferred outcome. We will keep a close watch as price action develops and clarifies the situation over time.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Cryptocurrencies Weekly – 14 Oct 2024

The medium-term bullish outlook on Bitcoin should be close to materializing as the recent consolidation phase nears completion.

The expected bull trend should complete the cyclical upside that started at circa $ 16 000.

This view is despite our well documented fundamental scepticism.

Ethereum remains somewhat of an enigma. It does seem, however that the market is constructing a medium-term bottom

that could result in a meaningful bull phase/relief rally.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here