Currencies

Cryptocurrencies Weekly – 15 July 2024

Please find attached the weekly Crypto market technical analysis update.

Remarks: My fundamental outlook on this market has once again been upstaged by the technical view.

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USD/ZAR Weekly Report – 15 July 2024

Please find the weekly Rand technical analysis update.

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Cryptocurrencies Report – 9 July 2024

Please find attached the weekly cryptocurrency update.

Personal Note: I find myself fundamentally extremely bearish on this asset class.

Unfortunately the technical outlook does not corroborate this view.

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The Rand vs Major Currencies – July 2024

Please find attached the month- end report on the Rand.

Note: This report analyses the Rand relative to the US Dollar, Euro, and Pound.

To intention is to highlight the various outcomes and find confirmation for the medium to longer term outlook.

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USD Dollar- The Bigger Picture – July 2024

Please find attached the monthly, longer- term update on the US Dollar.

Note: A crucial human bias when analysing markets is the inability to discern that markets have periods of bullish and bearish outcomes over various time frames.

Our fundamental narrative and views can sometimes ignore this reality.

While technical analysis is not always correct, it does portray a more representative long-term and nuanced approach.

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Short Term USD/ZAR Update – 02 July 2024

Please see below an adjustment to the short- term outlook on USD/ZAR.

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Cryptocurrencies: The Monthly Bigger Picture – July 2024

Please find attached the monthly, long term update on BTC and ETH.

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Rand Weekly Report – 1 July 2024

Please find attached the weekly USD/ZAR technical update.

Notes:

The normal month- end, long term USD/ZAR will be published next week
Technical views are objectively derived off price action. No fundamentals are directly included

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Cryptocurrency Weekly Report – 25 Mar 2024

The weekly Crypto market technical analysis update.

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US Dollar Weekly Report – 12 Nov 2024

US Dollar strength has exceeded our expectations and necessitated some adjustments to the medium- term outlook.

It seems that recent fundamental events have had a marked influence on the value of the Greenback.

Market behaviour and trends do not always abide by our expectations and analyses.

Besides being a lesson in humility, it also emphasizes the importance of pivotal technical levels as a disciplined investment approach.

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Cryptocurrency Report – 11 Nov 2024

The Bitcoin bull trend is in full swing towards the stated target levels.

Interim corrections and consolidation periods are natural occurrences during an impulsive bull trend.

Current medium-term advances should complete the cyclical bull trend and be followed by a multi month decline.

Ethereum is also experiencing a bull trend after a period of solid base building.

The long term outlook on this market remains somewhat uncertain

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Rand Weekly Report – 11 Nov 2024

Event risk has added a fair amount of volatility, but without a meaningful change in the prevailing view.

The interim Report of a possible down break through important support levels were put on hold after a sharp bullish reversal off the important support/ break levels.

Whereto from here: While volatility decreases certainty and creates doubt, it seems that the long held technical outcome remains preferred.

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Cryptocurrencies: The Bigger Picture – 04 Mar 2024

The month- end long term technical outlook on cryptocurrencies.

Note: In an emotional trending market, we rely heavily on Fibonacci extensions to gain insight on possible target levels.
Extended oscillators are only secondary and early warning signal that can remain overdone for extended periods.
Expect volatility from current levels.

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