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The medium-term bullish outlook on Bitcoin should be close to materializing as the recent consolidation phase nears completion.
The expected bull trend should complete the cyclical upside that started at circa $ 16 000.
This view is despite our well documented fundamental scepticism.
Ethereum remains somewhat of an enigma. It does seem, however that the market is constructing a medium-term bottom
that could result in a meaningful bull phase/relief rally.
The general bearish stance on the US Dollar remains preferred.
An expected correction in the bear trend has, however exceeded the indicated target levels.
This counter trend strength requires us to suggest a viable alternative possibility for a return to the largely ranging market conditions before the recent bearish break out.
Fortunately pivotal activation levels are quite close to current market levels.
The general consolidation in BTC is fast maturing and should result in a bullish outcome to new highs.
ETH remains difficult to pinpoint. Our medium- term bullish outlook was neutralized after a failure to reach new highs.
The best alternative is for this market to continue with an extended and overlapping bottoming formation.
The cryptocurrency market has evolved from a highly correlated entity to the current situation where the various currencies exhibit unique trends and outcomes.
The stark divergence between ETH and BTC outcomes over time has been notable.
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