Bitcoin and Ethereum’s technical pictures continue to diverge.
While BTC is consolidating as part of a cyclical bull trend, the long-term outlook for ETH remains more muted with volatile moves within a wide triangular trading range.
The main goal of long-term analysis is to portray possible large trends as the primary driver of returns and profits.
It is not a trading or timing input but can be used confirm the medium- and shorter-term views.
The medium-term bullish outlook on Bitcoin could be materializing as the market breaks above initial key resistance.
Interim overbought conditions are likely to result in a corrective phase, but this would remain part of the larger bullish bias, if pivotal support holds.
The expected bull trend should complete the cyclical upside that started at circa $ 16 000.
Ethereum remains less certain. The general view of a medium-term bottom, however, seems to be materializing.
The medium-term bullish outlook on Bitcoin should be close to materializing as the recent consolidation phase nears completion.
The expected bull trend should complete the cyclical upside that started at circa $ 16 000.
This view is despite our well documented fundamental scepticism.
Ethereum remains somewhat of an enigma. It does seem, however that the market is constructing a medium-term bottom
that could result in a meaningful bull phase/relief rally.
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