svenjamin

Cryptocurrencies Weekly Report – 05 Nov 2024

The expected bull trend on Bitcoin is materializing after a meaningful break out of the consolidation parameters.

Ethereum’s technical outlook remains elusive with a variety of potential medium-term possibilities. We retain the preferred view of base building for an eventual meaningful bull trend.

It seems like the market has decided on its choice for the preferred cryptocurrency, whether we agree with it, or not.

Membership Required

Already a member? Log in here

US Dollar Weekly Report – 05 Nov 2024

The longer- term bearish outlook on the US currency remains valid.

Further medium – term range trading is preceding the eventual bear trend.

We “ await” US presidential election and then “await” the FOMC meeting.

Then we will “digest” the results before “awaiting” the next important economic figures….

Membership Required

Already a member? Log in here

JSE TOP 40 Index Note – 04 Nov 2024

The expected and current market consolidation seems to be forming a bullish continuation pattern.

This phase is most probably building a base for further gains, as part of the larger bull trend.

Membership Required

Already a member? Log in here

Weekly Rand Report – 04 Nov 2024

Please find attached the weekly USD/ZAR report.

Membership Required

Already a member? Log in here

Brent: The bigger Picture – 31 Oct 2024

Please find attached the preferred medium and long term outlook on Brent.

Membership Required

Already a member? Log in here

US Dollar: The Bigger Picture – 30 Oct 2024

Our longer- term bearish stance on the Greenback remains valid and is ongoing.

Recent gains have, however indicated that the 18-month-old consolidation phase remains in force, effectively postponing the larger bearish potential.

The long-term monthly analysis confirms the respective weekly views.

The US presidential election and upcoming FOMC meeting could result in volatility, but this report does not take any fundamental drivers in consideration as a purely technical outlook.

Users can overlay and include their own perceptions and analyses.

Membership Required

Already a member? Log in here

JSE TOP 40 Index: The Bigger Picture – 29 Oct 2024

Please find attached the monthly, long term JSE TOP 40 index update.

Membership Required

Already a member? Log in here

Cryptocurrencies- The Bigger Picture – 28 Oct 2024

Bitcoin and Ethereum’s technical pictures continue to diverge.

While BTC is consolidating as part of a cyclical bull trend, the long-term outlook for ETH remains more muted with volatile moves within a wide triangular trading range.

The main goal of long-term analysis is to portray possible large trends as the primary driver of returns and profits.

It is not a trading or timing input but can be used confirm the medium- and shorter-term views.

Membership Required

Already a member? Log in here

Rand Monthly Report – 28 Oct 2024

Please find attached the month-end Rand report where we examine the local currency against the major global counterparts.

Membership Required

Already a member? Log in here

US Dollar Weekly Report – 22 Oct 2024

While the longer- term bearish outlook on the US currency remains valid, medium- and short-term outcomes were adjusted since last week’s report.

The alternative outcome of consolidating market action was validated by extended short term appreciation beyond pivotal levels.

Further medium – term range trading has postponed the still relevant and eventual bear trend to new lows.

Membership Required

Already a member? Log in here

US Dollar Weekly Report – 26 Nov 2025

Dollar strength is testing both medium- and short-term target levels.

The probability of further meaningful gains from a technical analysis perspective is low, with extended market conditions at important levels.

While the view is for a bearish reversal and meaningful downside, this view will only be confirmed on breaching of stated pivots.

“Technical analysis is a probability study on future market action”

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

US Dollar Weekly Report – 22 Oct 2024

While the longer- term bearish outlook on the US currency remains valid, medium- and short-term outcomes were adjusted since last week’s report.

The alternative outcome of consolidating market action was validated by extended short term appreciation beyond pivotal levels.

Further medium - term range trading has postponed the still relevant and eventual bear trend to new lows.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Cryptocurrency Weekly Report – 21 Oct 2024

The medium-term bullish outlook on Bitcoin could be materializing as the market breaks above initial key resistance.

Interim overbought conditions are likely to result in a corrective phase, but this would remain part of the larger bullish bias, if pivotal support holds.

The expected bull trend should complete the cyclical upside that started at circa $ 16 000.

Ethereum remains less certain. The general view of a medium-term bottom, however, seems to be materializing.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Rand Weekly Report – 21 Oct 2024

The USD/ZAR medium- and short- term expectations remain in line with recent market moves.

We expect volatile range trading within medium term parameters for the rest of the year.

The occurrence of a rare running correction with extended bullish consequences remains possible,

but is not the preferred outcome. We will keep a close watch as price action develops and clarifies the situation over time.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Cryptocurrencies Weekly – 14 Oct 2024

The medium-term bullish outlook on Bitcoin should be close to materializing as the recent consolidation phase nears completion.

The expected bull trend should complete the cyclical upside that started at circa $ 16 000.

This view is despite our well documented fundamental scepticism.

Ethereum remains somewhat of an enigma. It does seem, however that the market is constructing a medium-term bottom

that could result in a meaningful bull phase/relief rally.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Rand Weekly Report – 14 Oct 2024

Medium term moves have remained within long term consolidation parameters and have also consistently exhibited corrective traits.

This suggests that while the USD/ZAR pair should remain within stated parameters.

Volatility and ad hoc moves is likely to continue for the rest of 2024.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

US Dollar weekly Report – 08 Oct 2024

The general bearish stance on the US Dollar remains preferred.

An expected correction in the bear trend has, however exceeded the indicated target levels.

This counter trend strength requires us to suggest a viable alternative possibility for a return to the largely ranging market conditions before the recent bearish break out.

Fortunately pivotal activation levels are quite close to current market levels.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Crypto Weekly Report – 08 Oct 2024

The general consolidation in BTC is fast maturing and should result in a bullish outcome to new highs.

ETH remains difficult to pinpoint. Our medium- term bullish outlook was neutralized after a failure to reach new highs.

The best alternative is for this market to continue with an extended and overlapping bottoming formation.

The cryptocurrency market has evolved from a highly correlated entity to the current situation where the various currencies exhibit unique trends and outcomes.

The stark divergence between ETH and BTC outcomes over time has been notable.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

JSE TOP 40 Index Weekly Note – 07 Oct 2024

The maturing bull trend could have moderate further shorter -term upside potential.

Despite the short-term bullish bias, it is increasingly difficult to see a medium- term extended bullish scenario from current market levels.

Recent formations and price action suggest volatile and overlapping moves over the foreseeable future.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here